Matías Ciaschi es Investigador del Centro de Estudios Distributivos, Laborales y Sociales de la Universidad Nacional de La Plata (CEDLAS-IIE-FCE-UNLP) y becario del CONICET. Es Licenciado en Economía y Magíster en Economía por la UNLP y candidato a Doctor por la misma Universidad. Es docente de grado y posgrado en cursos de Economía Laboral, Economía Internacional y Métodos Computacionales. Sus investigaciones se centran en temas de de pobreza, distribución del ingreso, movilidad intergeneracional, mercados laborales y género y sus trabajos han sido publicados en revistas académicas como El Trimestre Económico, Estudios Económicos, Journal of Sustainable Tourism, Tourism Economics, Transitare y AFD Research Papers Series, entre otros.

Abstract: There is a substantial body of literature studying the effects of trade shocks on jobs and wages. It is unclear whether these effects are passed down to future generations. This paper examines whether the heterogeneous increase in Chinese import competition across Brazilian industries has permanently affected children of differently exposed fathers. We use a specific survey module that contains precise retrospective data on parental employment and education, among other characteristics, and apply a well-established instrumental variable strategy. Our findings show that children of more exposed fathers have lower education and earnings in their adulthood. They also have a higher likelihood of having an informal job, being employed in operational occupations, and relying on social assistance. Importantly, these effects are stronger for children from low socioeconomic backgrounds. We conclude that the trade shock had a negative causal effect on intergenerational mobility and exacerbated poverty traps.

Autores: Andrés César (CEDLAS-IIE-FCE-UNLP), Matías Ciaschi (CEDLAS-IIE-FCE-UNLP), Guillermo Falcone (CEDLAS-IIE-FCE-UNLP) & Guido Neidhöfer (ZEW Mannheim)

Organizan: Departamento de Economía, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas y Revista Económica

Contacto: iie@econo.unlp.edu.ar